Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.078963 0.091911 0.106234 0.123243 0.142879 0.164829 0.191220
2024-10-13 0.060208 0.077607 0.098797 0.126454 0.161559 0.204589 0.261307
2024-10-20 0.046047 0.064441 0.088637 0.122700 0.169317 0.230779 0.317872
2024-10-27 0.036661 0.054978 0.080686 0.119237 0.175407 0.254070 0.372398
2024-11-03 0.031594 0.050297 0.078052 0.121992 0.189541 0.289134 0.446747
2024-11-10 0.028375 0.047639 0.077676 0.127571 0.207988 0.332039 0.537302
2024-11-17 0.025242 0.044500 0.075925 0.130472 0.222263 0.369809 0.624021
2024-11-24 0.022247 0.041053 0.073067 0.130958 0.232358 0.401676 0.704500
2024-12-01 0.019607 0.037772 0.069951 0.130418 0.240375 0.430629 0.782947
2024-12-08 0.017241 0.034602 0.066543 0.128785 0.246052 0.455874 0.857371
2024-12-15 0.015988 0.033329 0.066370 0.132962 0.262593 0.501808 0.973543
2024-12-22 0.014883 0.032171 0.066231 0.137109 0.279433 0.549870 1.098589
2024-12-29 0.013908 0.031173 0.066337 0.141885 0.298338 0.604369 1.243077
2025-01-05 0.012933 0.030034 0.066018 0.145769 0.315962 0.658393 1.392910
2025-01-12 0.011353 0.027328 0.062067 0.141516 0.316269 0.677979 1.475469
2025-01-19 0.010009 0.024947 0.058485 0.137553 0.316625 0.697541 1.559895
2025-01-26 0.009353 0.024081 0.058139 0.140723 0.332875 0.752046 1.724420
2025-02-02 0.008976 0.023830 0.059157 0.147131 0.357113 0.826198 1.939641
2025-02-09 0.008430 0.023077 0.058891 0.150462 0.374618 0.887264 2.131985
2025-02-16 0.007776 0.021943 0.057554 0.151021 0.385606 0.934699 2.298071
2025-02-23 0.007126 0.020720 0.055835 0.150401 0.393636 0.976076 2.454260
2025-03-02 0.006483 0.019416 0.053732 0.148526 0.398305 1.009940 2.595963
2025-03-09 0.006203 0.019095 0.054161 0.153322 0.420492 1.088318 2.854629